Does Bernie have any chance at all? All we’ve heard about him since Day 1 is that he has no chance. Hillary will crush him and if by some chance he gets past her, the republican candidate will crush him. The republicans are salivating at the thought of running against a Jewish socialist who has a Brooklyn accent and is from Vermont.
And yet, Bernie has outperformed all expectations to this point. He has generated a fair amount of enthusiasm among younger voters and in fact, is crushing Hillary in the youth vote. He almost beat Hillary in Iowa and will probably beat her soundly in New Hampshire. Not bad!
Here’s where it gets murky though. Bernie does not have the minority support that Hillary has. Iowa is whiter than white and New Hampshire is a neighbor state. Can Bernie somehow gain momentum out of New Hampshire and make a real run at it? Probably not. Still, I bristle when I read that he has no chance at all. He has a chance. He has done much better than anyone thought he would. Why is that?
I’m sure there are a number of reasons for Bernie’s success so far but let’s focus on two of them. First off, he’s sincere in his beliefs. You may not agree with him on some or any issues but no one doubts his sincerity or thinks about him as “just another politician that will say anything to get elected”. Secondly, democrats like to get passionate about their candidates and Hillary, from day one, has been unable to generate much passion among democrats. Hillary, like her or not, is probably the most qualified presidential candidate we’ve have in some time but there are so many people who just, flat out hate her. She has a “problem with the truth”. Name me a politician, other than Bernie, who doesn’t? Is it because she’s a woman? I think that’s a big part of it. I’ve seen a lot of hate directed at her by republican men and not a ton of love for her among democrat and independent men. She would be wise to find a way to generate more passion and enthusiasm among women, especially young women.
Personally, I’ll never forgive her for voting for the Iraq war. She could have made a difference but she failed us miserably. It cost her in 2008 against Obama. In the end, I don’t think it will cost her this time around. I think she’ll get past Bernie and brace yourselves haters, win the presidency. Still, don’t count Bernie out yet.